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Fade Prediction Markets Losers with this Tool

by California Digital News


Posted on: February 15, 2026, 07:00h. 

Last updated on: February 14, 2026, 07:55h.

  • Traditional copy trading tools only allow users to follow other bettors and traders
  • Stand is taking the opposite approach
  • It could work because most prediction market traders lose money

Sports bettors know about the notion of fading bettors that are on losing streaks and it’s one that can be put into practice on prediction markets.

Polymarket Kalshi event contracts
The Polymarket logo on a smartphone with the prediction market website displayed. A new tool from Stand allows traders to fade prediction market losers. (Image: Shutterstock)

Stand, a company that aggregates prediction market data, is rolling out a tool that allows users to copy trade losing bettors and traders and potentially profit by fading them, or taking the opposite side of their trades. That’s a departure from the standard prediction markets bots, whale-watching instruments and copy trading technology, which typically only allows users to take the same side of trades put on by wallets they’re monitoring.

In theory, that sounds fine, but as Stand points out, many of the largest, most successful prediction market traders know they’re being tracked and thus use multiple wallets to put on trades.

The popular accounts know they are being watched. In fact, most whales have multiple accounts,” said the company a post on X. “They could easily buy 1¢ position in an illiquid market and then buy it from their ‘main’, watched account. All they would have to do is flip it back and dump on all the copy traders. It’s an easy way to get rekt.”

Stand notes there will be no fees associated with its copy/counter trading tool and that it’s easy to setup by using “the category filters to narrow your strategy to specific markets.”

Stand Prediction Markets Tool Could Work. Here’s Why.

Stand’s counter trading tool could gain traction because data indicate a majority of prediction market traders, particularly newer ones, lost capital. There’s some indication that some new Kalshi users lose money more rapidly on that platform than they do when sports betting.

Stand itself cites a 2025 study by Felix Reichenbach of Technische Universität Berlin and Martin Walther of the German International University indicating that 70% of Polymarket’s two million users have negative profit/loss.

“That means everyone knows the good players and the good players know they’re being watched. But it also means a more lucrative strategy might be to go against the herd and profit off the habitual losers,” observes Stand.

The company points to an example of a Polymarket trader that has a loss of $2.4 million in NBA betting markets. Potentially enhancing the allure of Stand’s counter trading tool is the fact that the share of profitable Polymarket traders decreases over time, according to that study.

Stand Tool Has Flexibility

It’s not guaranteed to be a millionaire maker because even losing bettors and traders occasionally win, but Stand’s copy trading tool does offer users a high level of flexibility.

“For example, on Stand’s copy trade you can choose if you want to buy as a percentage, range, or fixed amount of your followed trader. Set your entry price, slippage, volume amounts, market resolution time frames, how long you want to copy trade for, and how to exit a copy trade,” said the company on X.



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